As Forest Gump’s Mom used to say, “Life is like a box of chocolates. You never know what you’re going to get”. She’s right, of course: life can be random and unpredictable.
As with boxes of chocolate, we enjoy a bit of randomness
Source: Egor lyfar via UnSplash
Sometimes, these random events are easily dismissable as mere coincidences. But other times an event feels meant to be. It doesn’t seem so random at all. It assumes a greater significance. This is what we find, for example, in instances of serendipity.
It turns out that something like this may play out for buying decisions. When we come across a product unexpectedly, do we enjoy it more than if we expected to see it? Does it seem “meant to be”? That is, does the randomness of a product encounter enhance our attitude toward it?
Across six studies, researchers Aekyoung Kim and Donnel Briley of The University of Sydney examined the influence of happenstance on buying decisions.
Let’s dive in.
Methodology: Happenstance and Influence on Purchase Attitudes
In study 1, 100 participants were approached in the real world and presented with a specific product: a postcard. After examining the card, the researchers gave them the choice of how many they would like to take home. Here, the crucial manipulation was whether the consumers expected to see this product or not. To this end, half the participants were approached outside a post office (high expectancy), while the other half were stopped outside a cafeteria (low expectancy).
What happens when we encounter genuine randomness?
Source: Aakash Dhage via UnSplash
Consistent with the researchers’ hypothesis, participants took home significantly more postcards in the cafeteria, suggesting a positive role for happenstance: when the product is less expected, there was a higher product evaluation.
Study 2 replicated these findings by querying 71 new participants recruited online about their evaluation of a painting. The researchers asked them to imagine seeing the image either in an art gallery (high expectancy) or a bank (low expectancy). Again, participants’ enjoyment was higher in the less predictable context.
Additionally, the second variation of this study directly manipulated the perceived chance of seeing the painting with no mention of the locale. This manipulation also produced higher product evaluations when the probability of the encounter was lower.
Methodology: Exploring the Consumer Psychology of Happenstance With Products
While studies 1 and 2 solidified the connection between happenstance encounters and high product evaluations, studies 3-5 probed the purchasing decisions. The researchers hypothesize that low chance events provide a greater possibility of interpreting the event positively and as self-serving. In addition, while predictable events can be easily understood, less predictable ones leave open the option that they were “meant for me.” Therefore, such encounters would produce a strong, meaningful connection to those products.
Devoid of a clear explanation, we search for meaning in order to make sense of the world
Source: Rafael Otaki via UnSplash
Researchers began in study 3 by examining the self-product connection: While some products are valued more for their essential utility, others carry much greater symbolic meaning to the consumer. For instance, a running shoe is linked to the identity of a runner, while it’s just a shoe to anyone else. They hypothesized that when self-product connection is high, this serves as the default explanation for consumers to make sense of the event, and therefore does NOT produce a more substantial, meaningful connection.
They tested this hypothesis with 180 participants recruited online and randomly divided via a 2×2 between-subjects design: They were presented with a painting that either had a personal connection to the participant or not, and that either had high expectancy or low expectancy. The findings support the hypothesis: that the connection consumers feel towards a randomly encountered product is mitigated when their identity is linked to that product.
Study 4 considered the possibility that people have a dispositional orientation to seeking meaning in life events. Some people are simply more prone to interpret chance events in a meaningful way, while others have a natural tendency to dismiss them as coincidental.
143 online participants took part. Instead of responding to a painting, they were presented with a poem either in a high expectancy or low expectancy condition. In addition, the researchers also measured each participant’s dispositional orientation to “meaning-seeking.” The results suggest that, as predicted, those who are more prone to seeking meaning had higher evaluations for unexpected product encounters.
Study 5 took a similar approach, directly manipulating the need to search for meaning as its own independent variable via the experimental instructions. For example, participants in the “low motivation” to search for meaning condition read an article designed to reduce their motivation to search for meaning from random events, entitled “Research finds people don’t need the random events that occur in their lives to make sense.” Conversely, participants in the “high motivation” group read an article designed to boost the search for meaning within random events.
Along with these instructions, participants were also randomly assigned, again, to a high expectancy condition and an unexpected condition, thus employing another 2 x 2 design. Another product — a mug — was introduced to 153 participants recruited online.
This final study supports the idea that searching for meaning underlies this connection to the products. When the motivation to search for meaning was high, and the products were unexpected, the emotional bond to the product was significantly higher.
Discussion: The Power of Happenstance
Across 5 studies, the researchers support the idea that when we have chance encounters with products, we enjoy them more, and feel more connected to them, than if the consumer expects it. Unlike expected events, positive chance events leave open the possibility for more meaningful interpretation. In particular, the possibility that the product entered our lives for a reason and must hold greater significance for our lives, provides the possibility to create serendipity.
This post originally appeared on the marketing psychology blog
